The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically distributed increments in the general case, and high-order correlations have been investigated. The cumulants of an asymmetrically truncated Levy distribution have been found. The behaviors of asymmetrically truncated Levy flight, as a particular case of a random walk, are considered. It is shown that, in the Levy regime, high-order correlations between values of asymmetrically truncated Levy flight exist. The source of high-order correlations is the non-Gaussianity of the increments: the increment skewness generates threefold correlation, and the increment kurtosis generates fourfold correlation.
We investigate a simple variation of the Generalized Harmonic method for
evolving the Einstein equations. A flat space wave equation for metric
perturbations is separated from the Ricci tensor, with the rest of the Ricci
tensor becoming a source for these wave equations. We demonstrate that this
splitting method allows for the accurate simulation of compact objects, with
gravitational field strengths less than or equal to those of neutron stars.
This method could thus provide a straightforward path for general relativistic
effects to be added to astrophysics simulations, such as in core collapse,
accretion disks, and extreme mass ratio systems.
The number of citations is a widely used metric for evaluating the scientific credit of papers, scientists and journals. However, it so happens that papers with fewer citations from prestigious scientists have a higher influence than papers with more citations. In this paper, we argue that by whom the paper is being cited is of greater significance than merely the number of citations. Accordingly, we propose an interactive model of author–paper bipartite networks as well as an iterative algorithm to obtain better rankings for scientists and their publications. The main advantage of this method is twofold: (i) it is a parameter-free algorithm; (ii) it considers the relationship between the prestige of scientists and the quality of their publications. We conducted real experiments on publications in econophysics, and used this method to evaluate the influence of related scientific journals. The comparison between the rankings by our method and simple citation counts suggests that our method is effective in distinguishing prestige from popularity.
We propose a phase model to study cascade failure in power grids composed of
generators and loads. If the power demand is below a critical value, the model
system of power grids maintains the standard frequency by feedback control. On
the other hand, if the power demand exceeds the critical value, an electric
failure occurs via step out (loss of synchronization) or voltage collapse. The
two failures are incorporated as two removal rules of generator nodes and load
nodes. We perform direct numerical simulation of the phase model on a
scale-free network and compare the results with a mean-field approximation.
Quantitative analysis of empirical data from online social networks reveals
group dynamics in which emotions are involved (\v{S}uvakov et al). Full
understanding of the underlying mechanisms, however, remains a challenging
task. Using agent-based computer simulations, in this paper we study dynamics
of emotional communications in online social networks. The rules that guide how
the agents interact are motivated, and the realistic network structure and some
important parameters are inferred from the empirical dataset of
\texttt{MySpace} social network. Agent's emotional state is characterized by
two variables representing psychological arousal---reactivity to stimuli, and
valence---attractiveness or aversiveness, by which common emotions can be
defined. Agent's action is triggered by increased arousal. High-resolution
dynamics is implemented where each message carrying agent's emotion along the
network link is identified and its effect on the recipient agent is considered
as continuously aging in time. Our results demonstrate that (i) aggregated
group behaviors may arise from individual emotional actions of agents; (ii)
collective states characterized by temporal correlations and dominant positive
emotions emerge, similar to the empirical system; (iii) nature of the driving
signal---rate of user's stepping into online world, has profound effects on
building the coherent behaviors, which are observed for users in online social
networks. Further, our simulations suggest that spreading patterns differ for
the emotions, e.g., "enthusiastic" and "ashamed", which have entirely different
emotional content. {\bf {All data used in this study are fully anonymized.}}
Records of time-stamped social interactions between pairs of individuals
(e.g., face-to-face conversations, e-mail exchanges, and phone calls)
constitute a so-called temporal network. A remarkable difference between
temporal networks and conventional static networks is that time-stamped events
rather than links are the unit elements generating the collective behavior of
nodes. We propose an importance measure for single interaction events. By
generalizing the concept of the advance of event proposed by [Kossinets G,
Kleinberg J, and Watts D J (2008) Proceeding of the 14th ACM SIGKDD
International conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, p 435], we
propose that an event is central when it carries new information about others
to the two nodes involved in the event. We find that the proposed measure
properly quantifies the importance of events in connecting nodes along
time-ordered paths. Because of strong heterogeneity in the importance of events
present in real data, a small fraction of highly important events is necessary
and sufficient to sustain the connectivity of temporal networks. Nevertheless,
in contrast to the behavior of scale-free networks against link removal, this
property mainly results from bursty activity patterns and not heterogeneous
degree distributions.
We recently measured the average distance of users in the Facebook graph,
spurring comments in the scientific community as well as in the general press
("Four Degrees of Separation"). A number of interesting criticisms have been
made about the meaningfulness, methods and consequences of the experiment we
performed. In this paper we want to discuss some methodological aspects that we
deem important to underline in the form of answers to the questions we have
read in newspapers, magazines, blogs, or heard from colleagues. We indulge in
some reflections on the actual meaning of "average distance" and make a number
of side observations showing that, yes, 3.74 "degrees of separation" are really
few.
The aim of the paper is to derive for the negative correlation function with
a time parameter an asymptotic disjunction of the numerical generalized
least-squares estimator of an unknown constant mean of random field in fact the
correct classic generalized least-squares estimator of an unknown constant mean
of the field.
We derive explicit recursive formulas for Target Close (TC) and
Implementation Shortfall (IS) in the Almgren-Chriss framework. We explain how
to compute the optimal starting and stopping times for IS and TC, respectively,
given a minimum trading size. We also show how to add a minimum participation
rate constraint (Percentage of Volume, PVol) for both TC and IS. We also study
an alternative set of risk measures for the optimisation of algorithmic trading
curves. We assume a self-similar process (e.g. L\'evy process, fractional
Brownian motion or fractal process) and define a new risk measure, the
$p$-variation, which reduces to the variance if the process is a Brownian
motion. We deduce the explicit formula for the TC and IS algorithms under a
self-similar process. We show that there is an equivalence between self-similar
models and a family of risk measures called $p$-variations: assuming a
self-similar process and calibrating empirically the parameter $p$ for the
$p$-variation yields the same result as assuming a Brownian motion and using
the $p$-variation as risk measure instead of the variance. We also show that
$p$ can be seen as a measure of the aggressiveness: $p$ increases if and only
if the TC algorithm starts later and executes faster. From the explicit
expression of the TC algorithm one can compute the sensitivities of the curve
with respect to the parameters up to any order. As an example, we compute the
first order sensitivity with respect to both a local and a global surge of
volatility. Finally, we show how the parameter $p$ of the $p$-variation can be
implied from the optimal starting time of TC, and that under this framework $p$
can be viewed as a measure of the joint impact of market impact (i.e.
liquidity) and volatility.
We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick
pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate
futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market
orders or limit orders, which are represented respectively by impulse controls
and regular controls. We model and discuss the consequences of the two main
features of this particular microstructure: first, the limit orders sent by the
high frequency trader are only partially executed, and therefore she has no
control on the executed quantity. For this purpose, cumulative executed volumes
are modelled by compound Poisson processes. Second, the high frequency trader
faces the overtrading risk, which is the risk of brutal variations in her
inventory. The consequences of this risk are investigated in the context of
optimal liquidation. The optimal trading problem is studied by stochastic
control and dynamic programming methods, which lead to a characterization of
the value function in terms of an integro quasi-variational inequality. We then
provide the associated numerical resolution procedure, and convergence of this
computational scheme is proved. Next, we examine several situations where we
can on one hand simplify the numerical procedure by reducing the number of
state variables, and on the other hand focus on specific cases of practical
interest. We examine both a market making problem and a best execution problem
in the case where the mid-price process is a martingale. We also detail a high
frequency trading strategy in the case where a (predictive) directional
information on the mid-price is available. Each of the resulting strategies are
illustrated by numerical tests.