The key feature of online social networks (OSN) is the ability of users to
become active, make friends and interact via comments, videos or messages with
those around them. This social interaction is typically perceived as critical
to the proper functioning of these platforms; therefore, a significant share of
OSN research in the recent past has investigated the characteristics and
importance of these social links, studying the networks' friendship relations
through their topological properties, the structure of the resulting
communities and identifying the role and importance of individual members
within these networks.
<br />In this paper, we present results from a multi-year study of the online
social network Digg.com, indicating that the importance of friends and the
friend network in the propagation of information is less than originally
perceived. While we do note that users form and maintain a social structure
along which information is exchanged, the importance of these links and their
contribution is very low: Users with even a nearly identical overlap in
interests react on average only with a probability of 2% to information
propagated and received from friends. Furthermore, in only about 50% of stories
that became popular from the entire body of 10 million news we find evidence
that the social ties among users were a critical ingredient to the successful
spread. Our findings indicate the presence of previously unconsidered factors,
the temporal alignment between user activities and the existence of additional
logical relationships beyond the topology of the social graph, that are able to
drive and steer the dynamics of such OSNs.
"In the next century, planet earth will don an electronic skin. It will use
the Internet as a scaffold to support and transmit its sensations. This skin is
already being stitched together. It consists of millions of embedded electronic
measuring devices: thermostats, pressure gauges, pollution detectors, cameras,
microphones, glucose sensors, EKGs, electroencephalographs. These will probe
and monitor cities and endangered species, the atmosphere, our ships, highways
and fleets of trucks, our conversations, our bodies--even our dreams ....What
will the earth's new skin permit us to feel? How will we use its surges of
sensation? For several years--maybe for a decade--there will be no central
nervous system to manage this vast signaling network. Certainly there will be
no central intelligence...some qualities of self-awareness will emerge once the
Net is sensually enhanced. Sensuality is only one force pushing the Net toward
intelligence". These statements are quoted by an interview by Cherry Murray,
Dean of the Harvard School of Engineering and Applied Sciences and Professor of
Physics. It is interesting to outline the timeliness and highly predicting
power of these statements. In particular, we would like to point to the
relevance of the question "What will the earth's new skin permit us to feel?"
to the work we are going to discuss in this paper. There are many additional
compelling questions, as for example: "How can the electronic earth's skin be
made more resilient?"; "How can the earth's electronic skin be improved to
better satisfy the need of our society?";"What can the science of complex
systems contribute to this endeavour?"
The FuturICT project is a response to the European Flagship Call in the Area
of Future and Emerging Technologies, which is planning to spend 1 billion EUR
on each of two flagship projects over a period of 10 years. FuturICT seeks to
create an open, global but decentralized, democratically controlled information
platform that will use online data and real-time measurements together with
novel theoretical models and experimental methods to achieve a paradigm shift
in our understanding of today's strongly interdependent and complex world and
make our techno-socio-economic systems more flexible, adaptive, resilient,
sustainable, and livable through a participatory approach.
Biological competition is widely believed to result in the evolution of
selfish preferences. The related concept of the `homo economicus' is at the
core of mainstream economics. However, there is also experimental and empirical
evidence for other-regarding preferences. Here we present a theory that
explains both, self-regarding and other-regarding preferences. Assuming
conditions promoting non-cooperative behaviour, we demonstrate that
intergenerational migration determines whether evolutionary competition results
in a `homo economicus' (showing self-regarding preferences) or a `homo
socialis' (having other-regarding preferences). Our model assumes spatially
interacting agents playing prisoner's dilemmas, who inherit a trait determining
`friendliness', but mutations tend to undermine it. Reproduction is ruled by
fitness-based selection without a cultural modification of reproduction rates.
Our model calls for a complementary economic theory for `networked minds' (the
`homo socialis') and lays the foundations for an evolutionarily grounded theory
of other-regarding agents, explaining individually different utility functions
as well as conditional cooperation.
A microeconomic model is developed, which accurately predicts the shape of
personal income distribution (PID) in the United States and the evolution of
the shape over time. The underlying concept is borrowed from geo-mechanics and
thus can be considered as mechanics of income distribution. The model allows
the resolution of empirical and definitional problems associated with personal
income measurements. It also serves as a firm fundament for definitions of
income inequality as secondary derivatives from personal income distribution.
It is found that in relative terms the PID in the US has not been changing
since 1947. Effectively, the Gini coefficient has been almost constant during
the last 60 years, as reported by the Census Bureau.
The process of collecting and organizing sets of observations represents a
common theme throughout the history of science. However, despite the ubiquity
of scientists measuring, recording, and analyzing the dynamics of different
processes, an extensive organization of scientific time-series data and
analysis methods has never been performed. Addressing this, annotated
collections of over 35 000 real-world and model-generated time series and over
9000 time-series analysis algorithms are analyzed in this work. We introduce
reduced representations of both time series, in terms of their properties
measured by diverse scientific methods, and of time-series analysis methods, in
terms of their behaviour on empirical time series, and use them to organize
these interdisciplinary resources. This new approach to comparing across
diverse scientific data and methods allows us to organize time-series datasets
automatically according to their properties, retrieve alternatives to
particular analysis methods developed in other scientific disciplines, and
automate the selection of useful methods for time-series classification and
regression tasks. The broad scientific utility of these tools is demonstrated
on datasets of electroencephalograms, self-affine time series, heart beat
intervals, speech signals, and others, in each case contributing novel analysis
techniques to the existing literature. Highly comparative techniques that
compare across an interdisciplinary literature can thus be used to guide more
focused research in time-series analysis for applications across the scientific
disciplines.
This editorial opens the special issues that the Journal of Statistical
Physics has dedicated to the growing field of statistical physics modeling of
social dynamics. The issues include contributions from physicists and social
scientists, with the goal of fostering a better communication between these two
communities.
Citation numbers and other quantities derived from bibliographic databases
are becoming standard tools for the assessment of productivity and impact of
research activities. Though widely used, still their statistical properties
have not been well established so far. This is especially true in the case of
bibliometric indicators aimed at the evaluation of individual scholars, because
large-scale data sets are typically difficult to be retrieved. Here, we take
advantage of a recently introduced large bibliographic data set, Google Scholar
Citations, which collects the entire publication record of individual scholars.
We analyze the scientific profile of more than 30,000 researchers, and study
the relation between the h-index, the number of publications and the number of
citations of individual scientists. While the number of publications of a
scientist has a rather weak relation with his/her h-index, we find that the
h-index of a scientist is strongly correlated with the number of citations that
she/he has received so that the number of citations can be effectively be used
as a proxy of the h-index. Allowing for the h-index to depend on both the
number of citations and the number of publications, we find only a minor
improvement.
The patterns of life exhibited by large populations have been described and
modeled both as a basic science exercise and for a range of applied goals such
as reducing automotive congestion, improving disaster response, and even
predicting the location of individuals. However, these studies previously had
limited access to conversation content, rendering changes in expression as a
function of movement invisible. In addition, they typically use the
communication between a mobile phone and its nearest antenna tower to infer
position, limiting the spatial resolution of the data to the geographical
region serviced by each cellphone tower. We use a collection of 37 million
geolocated tweets to characterize the movement patterns of 180,000 individuals,
taking advantage of several orders of magnitude of increased spatial accuracy
relative to previous work. Employing the recently developed sentiment analysis
instrument known as the \textit{hedonometer}, we characterize changes in word
usage as a function of movement, and find that expressed happiness increases
logarithmically with distance from an individual's average location.
We describe an agent-based simulation of a fictional (but feasible)
information trading business. The Gas Price Information Trader (GPIT) buys
information about real-time gas prices in a metropolitan area from drivers and
resells the information to drivers who need to refuel their vehicles.
<br />Our simulation uses real world geographic data, lifestyle-dependent driving
patterns and vehicle models to create an agent-based model of the drivers. We
use real world statistics of gas price fluctuation to create scenarios of
temporal and spatial distribution of gas prices. The price of the information
is determined on a case-by-case basis through a simple negotiation model. The
trader and the customers are adapting their negotiation strategies based on
their historical profits.
<br />We are interested in the general properties of the emerging information
market: the amount of realizable profit and its distribution between the trader
and customers, the business strategies necessary to keep the market operational
(such as promotional deals), the price elasticity of demand and the impact of
pricing strategies on the profit.