We propose a model to analyze citation growth and influences of fitness
(competitiveness) factors in an evolving citation network. Applying the
proposed method to modeling citations to papers and scholars in the InfoVis
2004 data, a benchmark collection about a 31-year history of informatio
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visualization, leads to findings consistent with citation distributions in
general and observations of the domain in particular. Fitness variables based
on prior impacts and the time factor have significant influences on citation
outcomes. We find considerably large effect sizes from the fitness modeling,
which suggest inevitable bias in citation analysis due to these factors. While
raw citation scores offer little insight into the growth of InfoVis,
normalization of the scores by influences of time and prior fitness offers a
reasonable depiction of the field's development. The analysis demonstrates the
proposed model's ability to produce results consistent with observed data and
to support meaningful comparison of citation scores over time.
We introduce a future orientation index to quantify the degree to which Internet users worldwide seek more information about years in the future than years in the past. We analyse Google logs and find a striking correlation between the country’s GDP and the predisposition of its inhabitants to look forward.
In two previous papers the author developed a second-order price adjustment
(t\^atonnement) process. This paper extends the approach to include both
quantity and price adjustments. We demonstrate three results: a analogue to
physical energy, called "activity" arises naturally in the model, and is not
conserved in general; price and quantity trajectories must either end at a
local minimum of a scalar potential or circulate endlessly; and disturbances
into a subspace of substitutable commodities decay over time. From this we
argue,
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although we do not prove, that the model features global stability,
combined with local instability, a characteristic of many real markets.
Following these observations and a brief survey of empirical results for
price-setting and consumption behavior in markets for "real" goods (as opposed
to financial markets), we conjecture that Stigler and Becker's well-known
theory of consumer preference opens the possibility of substantial degeneracy
in commodity space, and therefore that price and quantity trajectories could
lie on a relatively low-dimensional subspace within the full commodity space.
The total number of patents produced by a country (or the number of patents
produced per capita) is often used as an indicator for innovation. Here we
present evidence tha
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t the distribution of patents amongst applicants within
many OECD countries is well-described by power laws with exponents that vary
between 1.66 (Japan) and 2.37 (Poland). Using simulations based on simple
preferential attachment-type rules that generate power laws, we find we can
explain some of the variation in exponents between countries, with countries
that have larger numbers of patents per applicant generally exhibiting smaller
exponents in both the simulated and actual data. Similarly we find that the
exponents for most countries are inversely correlated with other indicators of
innovation, such as R&D intensity or the ubiquity of export baskets. This
suggests that in more advanced economies, which tend to have smaller values of
the exponent, a greater proportion of the total number of patents are filed by
large companies than in less advanced countries.
In this paper, we discuss a voting model with two candidates, C_1 and C_2. We
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consider two types of voters--herders and independents. The voting of
independents is based on their fundamental values; on the other hand, the
voting of herders is based on the number of previous votes. We can identify two
kinds of phase transitions. One is information cascade transition similar to a
phase transition seen in Ising model. The other is a transition of super and
normal diffusions. These phase transitions coexist together. We compared our
results to the conclusions of experiments and identified the phase transitions
in the upper t limit using analysis of human behavior obtained from
experiments.